Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 51.578011 59.195876 67.041988 75.691354 84.924458 94.454022 105.001674
2025-12-28 42.157582 53.246276 65.226790 78.985599 94.213563 110.430027 128.887199
2026-01-04 35.935061 48.900437 63.420878 80.585392 100.048134 121.193541 145.677988
2026-01-11 30.051665 44.080413 60.351767 80.107803 102.996464 128.295993 158.014766
2026-01-18 25.378409 40.083725 57.720378 79.662552 105.568843 134.627368 169.172849
2026-01-25 21.964703 37.230731 56.116565 80.126019 108.936131 141.651107 180.927217
2026-02-01 18.589803 34.042525 53.799136 79.473374 110.777331 146.747441 190.335031
2026-02-08 15.949140 31.539044 52.112974 79.396563 113.142345 152.322927 200.183583
2026-02-15 13.356893 28.801978 49.901404 78.480036 114.344827 156.417992 208.218105
2026-02-22 11.813460 27.420953 49.357498 79.571128 117.914654 163.248785 219.393088
2026-03-01 10.562490 26.340803 49.122134 80.982245 121.821959 170.441204 230.963627
2026-03-08 8.755979 24.142523 47.181050 80.046959 122.714801 173.949986 238.134789
2026-03-15 6.939110 21.675818 44.715043 78.328403 122.581068 176.216356 243.864420
2026-03-22 6.556817 21.719152 45.892075 81.506651 128.674844 186.068618 258.662123
2026-03-29 5.859379 21.073557 45.984753 83.167139 132.797762 193.495566 270.548119
2026-04-05 4.781629 19.503198 44.569228 82.675193 134.090899 197.410087 278.187826
2026-04-12 3.856746 18.056948 43.238382 82.223177 135.378656 201.276737 285.738340
2026-04-19 3.212824 17.091828 42.597945 82.694615 137.839748 206.574740 295.005148
2026-04-26 2.484056 15.729486 41.211870 82.030499 138.752951 209.908319 301.859505
2026-05-03 1.943772 14.681630 40.268780 81.952325 140.406172 214.142157 309.792517
2026-05-10 1.394734 13.381196 38.790666 81.019562 140.865205 216.837930 315.817146
2026-05-17 1.135701 12.893856 38.703464 82.129973 144.066946 222.994563 326.088741
2026-05-24 0.939247 12.547602 38.843011 83.565903 147.703165 229.700886 337.039967